Cryptocurrency punters pushed odds of the U.S. launching a military campaign against Cuba to nearly 50% amid rising tensions with the island nation.
Aerial Strike Likely?
Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned 49% probability to the U.S. initiating a drone, missile, or air strike on Cuba before the year-end, up from 15% over the month and 5% over the week.
The market has attracted significant attention, with $4.34 million already wagered on the outcome as of this writing.
Actions limited to artillery fire, small arms engagements, ground incursions, naval shelling or cyberattacks will not qualify for resolution.
Meanwhile, bettors are pricing in a 25% chance that the U.S. will launch a military offensive to seize control of any part of Cuban territory before Dec. 31.
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