The U.S. population growth is expected to decline at a faster rate than previously projected due to President Donald Trump’s immigration policies, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
Trump’s Immigration Law Cuts Workforce, GDP Growth
The CBO’s updated demographic outlook, released on Wednesday, predicts that the U.S. will experience more deaths than births from 2031, two years earlier than previously projected. This shift is attributed to a reduced immigrant population and lower fertility rates, a consequence of Trump’s 2025 reconciliation act, or “One Big Beautiful Bill.”
The act allocates $170 billion for immigration and border enforcement, including a lump sum of $29.9 billion for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) operations and the hiring of 10,000 ICE officers.
The CBO estimates that around 290,000 immigrants will be removed from the country between 2026 and 2029, with approximately 50,000 immigrants detained daily during this period.
This crackdown is expected to directly affect the labor force. According to the CBO report, the …