Prediction markets find war profitable — $529 million traded on US-Iran bets, insider trading suspected by some accounts by Live mint | March 1, 2026 9:05 am | Indian Stocks, Market, News Polymarket saw $529 million traded on contracts related to US strikes on Iran, with some wallets gaining $1 million. Analysts suspect insider trading as some of the big gainers included new accounts that only made one bet.