Brent hits 6-month high; will $5–$10 war premium push prices higher? Peter McGuire answers

Brent crude has unexpectedly surged to $70 a barrel, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. This “war premium” is overshadowing earlier oversupply fears. Analysts warn that any disruption in the vital shipping lane could severely impact global markets, especially Asia. The Russia-Ukraine conflict also contributes to this underlying risk.