After wild market volatility amid escalating tariff tensions, Wall Street is heading into a potentially game-changing moment: the March inflation report, due Thursday morning.

With investors jittery over the economic fallout from rising trade barriers, the Consumer Price Index data could either bolster hopes for rate cuts or confirm fears that the Federal Reserve remains cornered by sticky inflation, further disappointing investor sentiment.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell made it clear last week that there is “no rush” for rate cuts. He cited heightened uncertainty around growth and inflation, particularly in light of the White House’s aggressive tariff stance.

Yet, a meaningful cooling in consumer prices might open the door to a more dovish posture as policymakers would shift their focus to the likely economic damage from tariffs.

For a market gripped by one of the fastest selloffs in modern history, a soft inflation print could be a much-needed glimmer of hope in an otherwise stormy environment.

In the lead-up to the inflation report, the S&P 500 — tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) — has dropped more than 10% since Donald Trump’s tariff announcement on April 2 and now sits 18% below its February …

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