Hormuz Closure Threatens Recession Rivaling 2008, Rapidan Energy Group Says by NDTV Profits | May 22, 2026 9:20 am | Latest Posts, Market, Trending News The advisory firm’s base case assumes the waterway reopens in July, resulting in an average oil demand reduction of 2.6 million barrels a day and the spot-market price for benchmark Brent crude peaking near $130 a barrel over the summer.