The S&P 500 slipped 0.41% on Thursday to close at 7,108.40, retreating from fresh intraday highs as investors weighed renewed Iran war risks against a strong earnings backdrop.

The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is leaning bullish heading into Friday. The April 24 market shows about 62% of traders betting “Up,” with the other 38% expecting a lower open for the benchmark index.

Why That Number Matters

Thursday’s pullback underscored how sensitive markets remain to headlines out of the Middle East, even with the benchmark hovering near record territory.

Sentiment improved after President Donald Trump said Israel and Lebanon had agreed to extend their ceasefire by three weeks, raising hopes that broader regional tensions may continue to …

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