Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) rejected $73,500 following a brief early March rally as Into The Cryptoverse analyst Benjamin Cowen declares the “simulation confirmed,” arguing BTC is tracking the average return of prior midterm years with 2014, 2018, and 2022 precision.

The Historical Playbook

Cowen predicted a month ago that Bitcoin would find a low in February, stay weak through February, rally in the first week of March, and then fade that rally. “We really do live in a simulation,” Cowen said as Bitcoin hit $73,500 before surrendering those gains.

The pattern repeats across midterm cycles. Bitcoin drops into February, rallies in early March, and then sells off just like the average of all prior midterm years. 

Despite narratives about ISM data, Jane Street, oil prices, and labor market weakness, Bitcoin follows the historical script.

Comparing 2026 to 2014 shows nearly identical moves: …

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