Five and 15-minute Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) prediction market contracts are attracting roughly $70 million in daily trading volume across Polymarket and Kalshi as retail traders use AI chatbots to scrape price data and generate odds for ultra-short-term bets.
The AI Trading Strategy
The Financial Times reported on Friday that Max Wojcik, a 29-year-old engineer, feeds weeks of Bitcoin price data into three AI chatbots—Claude, Gemini and ChatGPT.
He has the chatbots analyze the data together and calculate his probability of winning before he places any five-minute trades.
“Claude is my major brain right now, but I’m still manually placing the trades,” Wojcik said.
The engineer claims to have doubled his money over the past two months using this AI-assisted approach.
Traders flocking to short-term crypto forwards on Kalshi and Polymarket are presented with dashboards showing real-time prices fluctuating around a “price to beat” as a clock counts down toward the end of the contract.
The $70M Daily Volume Surge
Both platforms began offering 15-minute “up-down” bets on Bitcoin, Ethereum